Re: A whopping 50 percent... ???

From: David J Dachtera (djesys.nospam_at_comcast.net)
Date: 08/26/04 

Date: Wed, 25 Aug 2004 21:34:41 -0500

Kenneth Farmer wrote:
>
> "JF Mezei" <jfmezei.spamnot@teksavvy.com> wrote in message
> news:412CB28D.30441D27@teksavvy.com...
> > David Froble wrote:
> > > Regardless what anyone thinks or says, it's always about money!
> >
> > No. It is about strategy to make money. Carly wants to be seen as taking
> the
> > right steps to please shareholders. Period. Hence the "image is
> everything".
> >
> > If Carly tells shareholders that the future is with wintel servers and
> that
> > proprietary systems such as VMS have no future, then she will be expected
> to
> > take steps to move VMS customers over to wintel customers.
> >
> > The problem with folks like Carly is that power has gone to their heads
> and
> > they are using their industry leadership position to try to set trends.
> This
> > si where there is a huge difference bewteen HP and IBM.
> >
> > IBM doesn't really attenpt to predict a single technological future. They
> > leave doors opened without jeoperdizing their existing business. Their
> Linux
> > strategy is a good example. HP on the other hand wants to be seen as the
> > oracle of the IT world, with the ability to predict a single very precise
> > future and it then bets all its eggs into that prediction basket.
> >
> > Sun isn't putting all its eggs into Opteron. It is edging its bets by
> going to
> > Opteron and staying with Sparc.
> >
> > But in the end, it is Carly that makes the most noise about the IT
> industry's
> > future and she is listened to by the wall stree casino analysts who are
> > impressed with her leadership skills. Carly's hopes is that if she repeats
> her
> > predictions often enough, they will actually happen.
> >
> > Problem is that the wall street analysts have only short term memories. If
> > they went back to the pre-merced promises about IA64, they'd see just how
> > wrong Carly and Curly were and how IA64 will never be an "industry
> standard"
> > commodity item. If they realised that, they would they take Carly,s newer
> > predictions with a grain of salt and Carly would lose much credibility and
> > would then be required to make HP perform now instead of living on
> predictions
> > of the future.
>
> Funny, some of you guys seem to pratice the same repeat-repeat-repeat
> philosophy here.
>
> "...IA64 will never be an "industry standard"..."
>
> That's a bold statement. What's the definition of "industry standard" this
> week anyway.

That same as it's always been: a specification negotiated through an
internationally recognized body that is then published so that anyone
can manfacture to that specification.

Unfortunately, too many people see as "industry standard" that which is,
in fact, de-facto standard (widely used, but not a negotiated
specification; quite often, its actually a M$ dictate, not a "standard"
at all).

D.J.D.

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